How do interest rates affect me, and when will they drop?

In May, the Bank of England maintained interest rates at 5.25%, but cuts are anticipated later this year. These rates influence mortgage, credit card, and savings rates for millions across the UK.

What do interest rates entail, and what prompts their fluctuations?

An interest rate indicates the expense of borrowing money or the benefit of saving it. The Bank of England’s base rate determines the cost for other lenders to borrow money, thereby affecting the rates they offer customers for loans like mortgages and the interest earned on savings.

The Bank of England adjusts rates to manage UK inflation, the gradual rise in prices over time. When inflation is elevated, and the Bank’s target is 2%, it might raise rates to encourage reduced spending, aiming to lower inflation by curbing demand. As this strategy takes effect, the Bank may maintain or decrease rates accordingly.

When can we expect a decrease in UK interest rates?

The Bank rate is currently at its highest level in 16 years. However, it was even higher during much of the 1980s and 1990s, reaching 17% in November 1979.

There are queries as to why interest rates haven’t been reduced despite a significant drop in inflation. In March, inflation stood at 3.2%, down from its peak of 11.1% in October 2022, and further declines are anticipated.

Following the decision in May to maintain interest rates at 5.25%, the Bank’s governor, Andrew Bailey, expressed optimism about the situation, stating that things are progressing positively. However, he noted that the Bank requires more evidence of a sustained slowdown in price rises before considering a rate cut.

When can we expect a decrease in UK interest rates?

The Bank rate is currently at its highest level in 16 years. However, it was even higher during much of the 1980s and 1990s, reaching 17% in November 1979.

There are queries as to why interest rates haven’t been reduced despite a significant drop in inflation. In March, inflation stood at 3.2%, down from its peak of 11.1% in October 2022, and further declines are anticipated.

Following the decision in May to maintain interest rates at 5.25%, the Bank’s governor, Andrew Bailey, expressed optimism about the situation, stating that things are progressing positively. However, he noted that the Bank requires more evidence of a sustained slowdown in price rises before considering a rate cut.

It hinted at the potential for an interest rate reduction in June, pending the release of two new sets of figures on inflation and wages. Nonetheless, a rate cut later in the summer appears to be the more probable scenario.

The Bank must strike a balance between the necessity to curb price increases and the risk of harming the economy, which has exhibited minimal signs of growth.

What impact do interest rates have on my finances?

Mortgages

Nearly a third of households, as per the government’s English Housing Survey, have a mortgage. When interest rates fluctuate, over 1.2 million individuals with tracker and standard variable rate (SVR) deals typically experience immediate changes in their payments. More than 80% of mortgage customers hold fixed-rate deals, shielding them from immediate payment adjustments but influencing future deals. Mortgage rates currently stand considerably higher than in previous years, translating to increased costs for homebuyers and those remortgaging compared to borrowing the same amount a few years ago. About 1.6 million deals are set to expire in 2024, according to UK Finance, the banking trade body.

Credit Card and Loan Rates

The Bank of England’s interest rates play a crucial role in determining the rates charged on credit cards, bank loans, and car loans. Lenders might raise their rates if they anticipate an increase in the Bank of England’s rates. Conversely, if rates decrease, interest payments could become more affordable.

Savings Rates

 The Bank of England’s interest rate also impacts the returns savers can earn on their investments. Pressure mounts on individual banks and building societies to reflect higher interest rates for their customers. While some attractive deals exist in the market, experts advise consumers to explore their options, as funds might be parked in accounts offering minimal or no interest.

Are interest rates being raised in other countries?

Interest rates have been on the rise globally in the past few years. Nevertheless, in recent months, other central banks, such as the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, have also halted their rate hikes, with the next anticipated moves being downward adjustments. The UK has held one of the highest interest rates among the G7 nations, representing the world’s seven largest “advanced” economies.